Hot Events: Super Bowl LIX Betting Guide

7/2/25

Super Bowl Newsletter Thumbnail 2025

And just like that, Super Bowl week is here!

It feels like we were drafting our fantasy teams just yesterday and now we’re at the end of the season. So many incredible storylines to look back on, like the MVP numbers we saw from Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow. We saw a handful of breakout seasons from veterans in the league like Sam Darnold in Minnesota, or rookie sensations like Jaden Daniels on the Washington Commanders. Now that the season is over for all but two teams, we’re starting to hear rumblings of trade rumours. Myles Garrett wants out of Cleveland and Cooper Kupp was informed that he’ll be shipped out of LA.

All that can wait as the offseason will be here in just a few days. We now look forward to the Kansas City Chiefs vs the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX.

How fitting it is. To be knocked out in the title match just two Super Bowl’s ago, followed by some adversity and an early Wild Card round exit the following year. 2024 rolls around, adjustments were to be made, with Jason Kelce retiring and question marks in the locker room. They pivot and pick up one of the best running backs in the league from their division rivals and bulldoze their way back for a shot at the champ. It really does feel like a Philly thing.

The Kansas City Chiefs are officially public enemy number one, and that’s the way they like it. With history on the line, they have a chance to become the first team ever to win three Super Bowls in a row. Whether you think the refs are on their side or not, they’ve proved time and time again that nobody can beat them if they make it to the championship game, unless your name is Tom Brady.

Before we get into the big game, we want to take a moment to remind you that this is the last call for UBET’s $1000 Super Bowl Prize Pool!

Be sure to place a minimum $20 bet on the big game and you’ll automatically be entered into the $1000 prize pool. It’s really that simple! Be sure to get your picks in before 6:30 pm EST as this does not apply for live wagers.

Now let’s get into our top plays for Super Bowl 59

AJ Brown Over 5.5 Receptions (-113)


Starting off with a tricky one as UBET has Brown at 5 or more receptions at -344 odds. Big jump up to the -108 odds if you take it at 6 or more receptions. AJ Brown in the regular season was off and on as there seemed to be somewhat of a rift between him and Jalen Hurts around not getting the ball as much as he should, typical receiver drama.  Hurts knows that on the biggest stage, he’ll have to rely on his biggest weapons and that includes his WR1.


If you elect to go with the 5 receptions, know that AJ Brown hit this at a 73% clip this season. The encouragement you may need to jump to the 6 is in KC’s defense. They play a lot of man coverage and that’s what AJ feasts on. Weather will not be a factor, like it has been in the playoffs, so we can expect Hurts to target Brown a lot on Sunday.



Saquon Barkley Over 1.5 Touchdowns (+175)

This play needs no real explanation. Saquon Barkely’s first season in Philly was a career year. He became just the eight player in NFL history to rush for 2,000 yards in the regular season. He notched himself 15 touchdowns as well, 2 of which were receiving. As for the playoffs, he’s found the endzone a total of 5 times, three of those coming in the NFC Championship game against the Washington Commanders.

While this is the toughest challenge he’ll face, you can count on him for at least 6. Kansas City has the 2nd best rush defense in the league, but this is Saquon. You can expect Philly to use him to the fullest as he’s the reason they’re here. Without their running game and an elite o-line, they might not find themselves back at the big game.

As for the touchdown total, 2 touchdowns seems very attainable, as UBET indicates with +175 odds. The value isn’t there for just one touch down, unless it’s part of a ticket. For a straight bet, 1.5 touchdowns for Barkely could definitely hit, just hope he doesn’t get stopped at the 1 yard line, which forces Jalen Hurts to call the patented ‘tush push’.



Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline (-119)


It’s hard to argue with greatness and go against a dynasty like KC. I’ve personally taken the Chiefs in the last two Super Bowls, so if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Yes they haven’t been convincing all season and yes they haven’t been great against the spread. In fact, the chiefs won a total of 12 one-score games throughout the regular season. Regardless, this is a pick 'em’ with Kansas City just ever so slightly favored. This can obviously go either way, but when the Chiefs have the ball and are down 21-25 with a couple minutes left in the 4th quarter, you don’t want to be on the other end of Andy Reid’s two minute drill.

Not that this matters at all, but a fun stat nonetheless, the team wearing white in the last 20 Super Bowls are 16-4. The Chiefs will be wearing white on Sunday. Don't let that determine your pick, but it’s hard to argue with the numbers.

Over 48.5 Points (-112)

With the scenario we painted above, I have the Chiefs winning with a final score of 28-25. This has the feeling of a tightly contested game with Philadelphia leading the majority of the game. We wouldn’t be surprised if the largest margin for the Eagles was going into halftime, with adjustments made on the Chiefs side of things while Kendrick Lamar is on stage.

The Chiefs aren’t the greatest with the over. In fact, they’ve only hit the over once in Patrick Mahomes’ four Super Bowl appearances. That one over that hit (49.5) was two years ago against, you guessed it, the Philadelphia Eagles.

This could be a much higher scoring game as Philly averages 28.4 points per game while KC is good for 23.2. Let’s see some action, root for some offense as Super Bowl LIX is shaping up to be the heavyweight rematch we all anticipate.


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